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Decision Analysis and Its Applications to Systems Engineering

Conference Summary

The Hampton Roads Area (HRA) INCOSE chapter and the Hampton Roads Society of Cost Estimating and Analysis (SCEA) chapter co-hosted the Hampton Roads Decision Analysis and Its Applications to Systems Engineering Conference on 17-18 November, 2009 in Newport News, VA. The conference was sponsored by Booz Allen Hamilton, Reed Integration, Futron, Old Dominion University, and The George Washington University and had over 40 attendees from California, Mississippi, Ohio, Massachusetts, Maryland, Virginia and the Washington DC metropolitan area. The conference featured 15 presentations across four subject tracks – Decision Theory; Decision Analysis & Systems Engineering; Decision Tools; and Decision Management – and there was also a student decision analysis poster presentation.

This year’s Decision Analysis theme was especially fitting because of the topic’s linkages to cost estimating and analysis. As budgets continue to tighten, planning and analysis is critical to ensuring that constrained resources are applied optimally and that program and budget decisions can be justified. Decision analysis plays an important role in this process by providing sound methodologies and tools to improve the quality of decision making and to enable organizations to better understand and justify the underlying rationale for a decision. This conference was a huge success in introducing Decision Analysis theory, analysis tools, management examples, and industry points of contact, and the analysis community is grateful for the efforts of the Hampton Roads INCOSE and SCEA chapters, all presenters and attendees. Questions should be directed to Thomas (Tad) Walls, Jr, 2009 President of the HRA INCOSE Chapter.



View the Conference Presentations

  • Applying Ternary Logic to Decisions in Family Housing
    Michael S. Cokus and John W. Dahlgren, The MITRE Corporation


  • Risk Management Between Projects and Systems
    Baqer Alali, Old Dominion University
    Co-Authors: Dr. Ariel Pinto, Dr. R. Landaeta, Dr. A. Tolk, Dr. C. Colburn


  • Exploring a Range of Decision Making Techniques
    John Bates, Booz Allen Hamilton


  • Using Measurement and the Saaty Method to Choose the Best Decision Alternative
    Peter Baxter, Distributive Management


  • Coefficient of Variation as Risk (CoVaR)
    Ilya Fishman, President and Chief Technology Officer, Ibico
    “Radar” Browne-Middleton, Booz Allen Hamilton


  • A Decision Model for Minimizing Critical Component Costs While Achieving a Target Quality of Service
    Christopher Garcia, Old Dominion University


  • The Advent of the Concept of Resilience for Systems Engineering
    Dr. Adrian Gheorghe, Old Dominion University


  • Economic Benefits Analysis: The “Other-Side” of Cost
    Paul Gvoth, Booz Allen Hamilton


  • Revisions to a decision aid for the selection of sustainable water and wastewater infrastructure in low-income communities in developing countries
    Justin Henriques, SIE Department, University of Virginia


  • Navy Aircraft Carrier Gap Analysis
    Justin Hornback & Robin Smith, Booz Allen Hamilton


  • Usage of Decision Analysis Methods Outside of a Classroom Environment by Aerospace Researchers
    Sharon Monica Jones, NASA Langley
    Rafael E. Landaeta, C. Ariel Pinto and Resit Unal, Old Dominion University
    James T. Luxhøj, Rutgers University


  • Information Architecture as a Decision-Support Tool
    Dr. M. A. Malloy, The MITRE Corporation


  • Analysis of Decision Algorithms – A Specification of Performance
    Dr. Swapan K. Sarkar, Booz Allen Hamilton 


  • Optimizing Optimism in Systems Engineers
    Dr. Ricardo Valerdi, Massachusetts Institute of Technology




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