About Bears and Bees - Adaptive Response to Asymmetric Warfare
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Date
Monday, October 29th, 2007
Time
6:00PM
Speaker
Dr. Alex Ryan
Description
1. About Bears and Bees, Adaptive Response to Asymmetric Warfare
Conventional military forces are organized to generate large scale effects against similarly structured adversaries. Asymmetric warfare is a ‘game’ between a conventional military force and a weaker adversary that is unable to match the scale of effects of the conventional force. In asymmetric warfare, an insurgents’ strategy can be understood using a multi-scale perspective: by generating and exploiting fine scale complexity, insurgents prevent the conventional force from acting at the scale they are designed for. This paper presents a complex systems approach to the problem of asymmetric warfare, which shows how future force structures can be designed to adapt to environmental complexity at multiple scales and achieve full spectrum dominance.
2. Operationalizing Adaptive Campaigning
For highly complex missions, it is not realistic to expect to "get it right" from the outset. The initial conditions are much less important than the ability to improve performance over time. This is the aim of Adaptive Campaigning. We present a methodology that is a first step towards achieving this aim, based on the notion of an explicit, shared, Causal and Influence Network (C&IN). This novel approach to adaptive campaigning can capture lessons learned across rotations, increase adaptability at all scales, levels and classes, and thereby significantly improve the chances for successful outcomes.
Speaker Bio
Dr. Alex Ryan is a complex systems scientist at the Defense Science Technology Organization in Australia. Alex's roles include Science Team Leader for complex systems long range research, land systems integration Science and Technology Capability Leader, and Australian National Leader on The Technical Cooperation Program (TTCP) Action Group for Complex Adaptive Systems in Defense.
Over the last 8 years at DTSO, Alex has contributed to operations support, tactical decision support concept demonstrators, C2 architectures, and experimentation, modeling, analysis and wargaming of land operations. Alex completed a PhD on a multidisciplinary approach to complex systems design in 2007 and has first class honors in applied mathematics.
Location
MITRE Corporation
Room 1M306 - go to the M-Building Lobby
202 Burlington Road,
Bedford, MA. 01730-1420
Cost
INCOSE Members $10 (Free if you are in halloween spirit)
Non members: Free for first meeting
Student members: Free
Payable at the door.
Reservations
Please RSVP to info@incose-ne.org