Abstract: Today’s well known and utilized SysML tools and platforms that deliver exceptional capability in systems engineering typically do not offer an intuitive and effective means for capturing and modeling risks and opportunities. Modeling these elements, their properties, and interactions/traceability to other Systems Engineering artifacts is yet another pillar of a holistic Systems Engineering methodology that can make or break the success of any program. While it may be easy to modify existing elements to provide a static identification of risk and opportunity attributes within any given model, much more thought and care needs to be employed to generate a methodology that includes analysis of the time-phased, evolving aspects of R/O management. Only then can the attribute data related to potential risks and opportunities be analyzed sufficiently to make technical and programmatic decisions, and a full model-based system-level understanding of a project is incomplete without it. This presentation will fully define the problem of ignoring risks and opportunities in a complete MBSE employment and will describe a set of custom SysML extensions and a methodology that meets typical project needs. A few examples for how to create static and dynamic model elements for identifying, analyzing, and predicting the probabilistic impact of these potential events will be presented, as well as means of tailoring the rigor and scope of a model-based risk & opportunity program to the needs of an organization based on project size, complexity, and stakeholder demands.
Bio: Brian Selvy is CEO, CTO, and Co-founder of Nymbysys LLC, a Model Based Systems Engineering consultancy and training company focused on assessing clients' needs and tailoring nimble, effective, and efficient solutions to their unique criteria, taking into account company size, past MBSE experience, project size and complexity, and customer expectations and requirements. Mr. Selvy has 15 years of experience in Systems Engineering and has been an avid practitioner of Model Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) for the last 7+ years. He has held senior systems engineering and management positions at Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX), Pratt and Whitney Rocketdyne, Paragon Space Development Corporation, the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST), and World View where he currently serves as the Systems Engineering Manager in addition to his role at Nymbysys. Mr. Selvy has developed tooling extensions, architecture and methodology solutions to complex problems that lacked an apparent “out of the box” solution. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Aerospace Engineering, Cum Laude, from California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo and a Masters of Science degree in Systems Architecting and Engineering from the University of Southern California. He has obtained the Object Management Group Certified Systems Modeling Professional (OCSMP) certification and has won awards from No Magic and the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy (AURA) for his modeling work. He has also been recognized by as a “40 under 40” award winner for the Tucson metro area.